Midterm review of the Low Carbon Urban Transport Project

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Evaluation Plan:
2019-2023, Philippines
Evaluation Type:
Mid Term Project
Planned End Date:
01/2021
Completion Date:
01/2021
Status:
Completed
Management Response:
No
Evaluation Budget(US $):
40,000

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Title Midterm review of the Low Carbon Urban Transport Project
Atlas Project Number: 00086135
Evaluation Plan: 2019-2023, Philippines
Evaluation Type: Mid Term Project
Status: Completed
Completion Date: 01/2021
Planned End Date: 01/2021
Management Response: Yes
Focus Area:
  • 1. Others
Corporate Outcome and Output (UNDP Strategic Plan 2018-2021)
  • 1. Output 2.1.1 Low emission and climate resilient objectives addressed in national, sub-national and sectoral development plans and policies to promote economic diversification and green growth
SDG Goal
  • Goal 11. Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable
SDG Target
  • 11.2 By 2030, provide access to safe, affordable, accessible and sustainable transport systems for all, improving road safety, notably by expanding public transport, with special attention to the needs of those in vulnerable situations, women, children, persons with disabilities and older persons
  • 11.b By 2020, substantially increase the number of cities and human settlements adopting and implementing integrated policies and plans towards inclusion, resource efficiency, mitigation and adaptation to climate change, resilience to disasters, and develop and implement, in line with the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030, holistic disaster risk management at all levels
Evaluation Budget(US $): 40,000
Source of Funding: Project funds
Evaluation Expenditure(US $): 30,000
Joint Programme: No
Joint Evaluation: No
Evaluation Team members:
Name Title Nationality
Roland Wong Evaluation Consultant
Felicisimo David, Jr. Evaluation Consultant
GEF Evaluation: Yes
GEF Project Title: Promotion of Low Carbon Urban Transport Systems in the Philippines
Evaluation Type: Mid-term Review
Focal Area: Climate Change
Project Type: FSP
GEF Phase: GEF-1
GEF Project ID: 5717
PIMS Number: 5304
Key Stakeholders: Department of Transportation
Countries: PHILIPPINES
Lessons
Findings
1.

In consideration of the progress to date and the actual EOP date of 16 November 2021, the LCUTS Project has less than one year remaining to achieve its important objective level target of 52,959 tCO2 of emission reductions (over the lifetime of the technology). Given the current status on progress and time remaining, it is highly unlikely that this objective-level target will be achieved as well as targets for other outputs and outcomes where there are ongoing activities. This includes policies, programs and training all related to green urban development, low carbon transport and private sector participation and investment. While all these ongoing activities eventually lead towards generation of transport-related GHG emission reductions, the timeframe of these activities to contribute towardsthe 52,959 tCO2 from LCUTS is not clear and likely more than one year. As such, the Project is in need of an extension, provided that a refreshed approach is adopted to meet the GHG emissions reduction target over the next 1 year plus the requested LCUTS extension time.


2.

Notwithstanding the aforementioned delays and setbacks on the LCUTS Project since November 2017, ownership of the LCUTS Project by the GoP appears strong. This is indicated by a fairly active Project Board whose members are actively engaged, notably the private sector in their own EV deployment initiatives and the planning of green urban transport projects within several LGUs throughout the Philippines. There are also several technical working groups reviewing policies and incentive programs that will serve to contribute to an enabling environment for green urban development and EV deployment for public utility vehicles.


Recommendations
1

Request a 30-month extension from UNDP and GEF to utilize remaining LCUTS resources of just over US$2.0 million to achieve the targeted lifetime incremental GHG emission reduction of 52,959 tCO2

2

Setup an enhanced awareness and advocacy programme to strengthen outreach to potential EV investors and operational EV fleets under Output 2.2

3

Design a data collection programme for operational EV fleets

4

Implement enhanced awareness and advocacy programme under Output 2.2 using data collected for operational

EV fleets

5

Assist and facilitate the development of viable business plans for private sector and transport cooperatives as a part of Output 3.2.1

6

Recruit a part-time international CTA to provide strategic guidance to the PMU and key LCUTS stakeholders

7

Build off experience of Recommendation 4 to improve the monitoring and evaluation of new EV fleets financed

under PUVMP, and other infrastructural investments related to green e-mobility such as “green boulevards”

8

Project Results Frameworks (PRFs) should be setup in a manner that can be easily implemented, monitored and evaluated by the PMU, the counterpart agency, oversight managers at UNDP, and GEF

9

Continue with delivery of Output 3.1.1, the public transport route rationalization assessment and feasibility studies that is ongoing with a number of LGUs

10

Develop standard procedures for on-road and laboratory tests of new EV technologies as a part of Output 3.1.2

11

Develop and approve an established EV charging protocol and standardization as a part of Output 3.1.3

12

Installed standardized solar EV charging stations in pilot areas and cities as a part of Output 3.2.2

13

Introduce at least 10 operational and new hybrid or EVs for mass transit in pilot cities as a part of Output 3.2.3

14

Undertake training programme to develop a sufficient number of skilled local technicians to provide maintenance for EV fleets

15

Continue with ongoing low carbon transport policy development within Outcome 1

16

Document the process of engaging the LGUs leading to the adoption and implementation of low carbon transport plans and programs including actual deployment of EV/hybrid public transport fleets

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