Statistical Outcome evaluation

Report Cover Image
Evaluation Plan:
2005-2009, Turkmenistan
Evaluation Type:
Outcome
Planned End Date:
10/2006
Completion Date:
10/2006
Status:
Completed
Management Response:
Yes
Evaluation Budget(US $):
--

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Title Statistical Outcome evaluation
Atlas Project Number:
Evaluation Plan: 2005-2009, Turkmenistan
Evaluation Type: Outcome
Status: Completed
Completion Date: 10/2006
Planned End Date: 10/2006
Management Response: Yes
Focus Area:
  • 1. Poverty and MDG
Corporate Outcome and Output (UNDP Strategic Plan 2014-2017)
  • 1. National capacity for socio-economic data collection, analysis & reporting aligned with international standards and commitments, including MDGs
Evaluation Budget(US $): --
Joint Programme: No
Joint Evaluation: No
Evaluation Team members:
Name Title Email Nationality
Michael Constable Team Leader
GEF Evaluation: No
Key Stakeholders:
Countries: TURKMENISTAN
Lessons
Findings
Recommendations
1 The UN in Turkmenistan should initiate a dialogue to seek agreement at the highest political level: a) Future UN support to the national statistical system be used to produce official statistics which effectively monitor progress of different socio-economic groups and areas of the country towards the internationally agreed MDG, and b) These official MDG related statistics, including the raw survey data on which they are based, should be equally accessible to civil society and development partners as well as to Government.
2 The RC should convene a joint UNCT-donor meeting to specifically discuss tactics for the above political dialogue, perhaps circulating this evaluation report as additional background. Thereafter, the RC should keep the international community fully and regularly informed of progress in this dialogue.
3 Until tangible progress from the political dialogue is visible to the UNCT and development partners, the UN(DP) should adopt a minimalist approach to interventions in the statistical area. None of the UNDP?s current statistical projects should be extended beyond their scheduled termination in December 2006.
4 The UN(DP) should not agree to support the preparation of another MDG report for Turkmenistan unless a) the UNCT is given equal access to the raw survey data required for such reporting, and b) the UNCT retains the right to participate equally in the data collection, analyses and dissemination of the report.
5 If current political constraints to achievement of the UNDAF and CP outcomes remain, the outcomes should be made much more modest so as to be more realistically achievable by 2009. This should be completed during the mid term UNDAF review planned for mid 2007. If, on the other hand, by then there are tangible results from the political dialogue, then this outcome should be reformulated to a) focus exclusively on the MDGs to indicate WHAT statistics will be supported by the UN, b) clearly indicate which disadvantaged groups (WHO) will be covered by these statistics, c) indicate HOW the statistics will be collected, analyzed and disseminated by relating to the ten UN Principles and d) be more results orientated
6 Because of the obvious concerns of development partners in this outcome, they should be invited to play an active role in the mid term review of the UNDAF.
7 If the UNCT and development partners are satisfied with results from the political dialogue, a full statistical support programme should be prepared. This should be systematically formulated by a readiness and needs assessment.
8 The UNCT should invite the EU to join in single integrated statistical support programme, irrespective of whether that programme follows the minimalist approach or expands, because of verified political readiness, into a full programme.
9 As part of the full statistical programme support, if the present travel restrictions on NISSI professionals continue, the UN should finance briefing visits of globally recognized statistical experts to Turkmenistan in order to brief NISSI staff and other concerned Government users on new professional developments, best practices related to MDG monitoring and the ten UN principles.
10 UNDP, UNICEF and UNFPA should explore a joint UN initiative at the sub-regional level aimed at: a) Putting into the public domain the UN?s best estimates of progress by vulnerable groups/parts of countries towards the MDGs, in cases where official data are either not available or considered impartial, and b) to continually and more assertively abdicate for change where cuurent conditions constrain progress towards the MDGs.
1. Recommendation: The UN in Turkmenistan should initiate a dialogue to seek agreement at the highest political level: a) Future UN support to the national statistical system be used to produce official statistics which effectively monitor progress of different socio-economic groups and areas of the country towards the internationally agreed MDG, and b) These official MDG related statistics, including the raw survey data on which they are based, should be equally accessible to civil society and development partners as well as to Government.
Management Response: [Added: 2010/02/10] [Last Updated: 2010/02/10]

Initiate and sustain a political dialogue with high level national authorities about the issue of accessibility to reliable statistics

Key Actions:

Key Action Responsible DueDate Status Comments Documents
Initiate and sustain a political dialogue with high level national authorities about the issue of accessibility to reliable statistics
[Added: 2010/02/10]
Resident Coordinator/Resident Representative No due date No deadline established Though since 2007 the highest authorities took measures to address provision of reliable data, the government remains wary on independent statistics
Use high ranking UN officials visiting Turkmenistan and their meeting with highest authorities to lobby the statistical issue
[Added: 2010/02/10]
Resident Coordinator/Resident Representative No due date No deadline established During missions
2. Recommendation: The RC should convene a joint UNCT-donor meeting to specifically discuss tactics for the above political dialogue, perhaps circulating this evaluation report as additional background. Thereafter, the RC should keep the international community fully and regularly informed of progress in this dialogue.
Management Response: [Added: 2010/02/10] [Last Updated: 2010/02/10]

Discuss tactics in UNCT during the new UNDAF cycle preparation

Key Actions:

Key Action Responsible DueDate Status Comments Documents
Discuss the tactics among UNCT during preparation to new UNDAF cycle
[Added: 2010/02/10] [Last Updated: 2010/02/11]
Resident Coordinator, RC office 2009/05 Completed
Include discussions about statistics during regular general donor coordination meetings:
[Added: 2010/02/10]
Resident Coordinator, RC office No due date No deadline established On-going
3. Recommendation: Until tangible progress from the political dialogue is visible to the UNCT and development partners, the UN(DP) should adopt a minimalist approach to interventions in the statistical area. None of the UNDP?s current statistical projects should be extended beyond their scheduled termination in December 2006.
Management Response: [Added: 2010/02/10]

Complete pending activities and close all statistical projects.

Key Actions:

Key Action Responsible DueDate Status Comments Documents
To complete pending activities and close all statistical projects
[Added: 2010/02/10]
Programme Officer 2007/12 Completed
4. Recommendation: The UN(DP) should not agree to support the preparation of another MDG report for Turkmenistan unless a) the UNCT is given equal access to the raw survey data required for such reporting, and b) the UNCT retains the right to participate equally in the data collection, analyses and dissemination of the report.
Management Response: [Added: 2010/02/11] [Last Updated: 2010/02/11]

Recommendation accepted

Key Actions:

Key Action Responsible DueDate Status Comments Documents
the recommendation accepted; no further MDG report (since 2003) was prepared with UN support
[Added: 2010/02/11]
Resident Coordinator No due date No deadline established Completed
5. Recommendation: If current political constraints to achievement of the UNDAF and CP outcomes remain, the outcomes should be made much more modest so as to be more realistically achievable by 2009. This should be completed during the mid term UNDAF review planned for mid 2007. If, on the other hand, by then there are tangible results from the political dialogue, then this outcome should be reformulated to a) focus exclusively on the MDGs to indicate WHAT statistics will be supported by the UN, b) clearly indicate which disadvantaged groups (WHO) will be covered by these statistics, c) indicate HOW the statistics will be collected, analyzed and disseminated by relating to the ten UN Principles and d) be more results orientated
Management Response: [Added: 2010/02/11]

The UNDAF review process is not the right forum to address the sensitive issue of accessible and reliable statistics.

Key Actions:

Key Action Responsible DueDate Status Comments Documents
The UNDAF review process was considered as not the right forum to address the sensitive issue of accessible and reliable statistics.
[Added: 2010/02/11]
No due date No deadline established
6. Recommendation: Because of the obvious concerns of development partners in this outcome, they should be invited to play an active role in the mid term review of the UNDAF.
Management Response: [Added: 2010/02/11]

Inform development partners about the new UNDAFand present it to them.

Key Actions:

Key Action Responsible DueDate Status Comments Documents
To inform development partners in the process of formulation of new UNDAF cycle
[Added: 2010/02/11]
Resident Coordinator, RC office 2008/12 Completed
Present a new UNDAF 2010-2015 to development partners
[Added: 2010/02/11]
Resident Coordinator, RC office 2009/12 Completed
7. Recommendation: If the UNCT and development partners are satisfied with results from the political dialogue, a full statistical support programme should be prepared. This should be systematically formulated by a readiness and needs assessment.
Management Response: [Added: 2010/02/11]

Draft and agree with the Statistical Committee a joint programme to support conducting of national census in line with international standards

Key Actions:

Key Action Responsible DueDate Status Comments Documents
In view of the scheduled census selected UN agencies will draft a joint programme to support conducting of national census in line with international standards
[Added: 2010/02/11]
Established UN task force representing participating UN agencies 2007/12 Completed
Finalise and agree with the Statistical Committee the joint programme for census
[Added: 2010/02/11]
UN task force for the census JP 2009/12 Completed
8. Recommendation: The UNCT should invite the EU to join in single integrated statistical support programme, irrespective of whether that programme follows the minimalist approach or expands, because of verified political readiness, into a full programme.
Management Response: [Added: 2010/02/11]

Regularly share information with the EU and other donors on development projects including in the area of statistics.

Key Actions:

Key Action Responsible DueDate Status Comments Documents
To use this outcome evaluation report in preparation of the country analysis (equivalent to common country assessment) to feed into a new UNDAF process
[Added: 2010/02/11]
Resident Coordinator, RC office 2008/12 Completed
UNCT to regularly share the information with EU and other donors, about its development projects including in statistics
[Added: 2010/02/11]
Resident Coordinator, RC office No due date No deadline established On-going
9. Recommendation: As part of the full statistical programme support, if the present travel restrictions on NISSI professionals continue, the UN should finance briefing visits of globally recognized statistical experts to Turkmenistan in order to brief NISSI staff and other concerned Government users on new professional developments, best practices related to MDG monitoring and the ten UN principles.
Management Response: [Added: 2010/02/11]

Arrange statistical experts missions and a study tour for national statisticians within the Census JP

Key Actions:

Key Action Responsible DueDate Status Comments Documents
Within the JP on census arrange statistical experts missions and a study tour for national statisticians
[Added: 2010/02/11]
UN task force for the census JP 2009/12 Completed 6 missions arranged; 1 study completed
10. Recommendation: UNDP, UNICEF and UNFPA should explore a joint UN initiative at the sub-regional level aimed at: a) Putting into the public domain the UN?s best estimates of progress by vulnerable groups/parts of countries towards the MDGs, in cases where official data are either not available or considered impartial, and b) to continually and more assertively abdicate for change where cuurent conditions constrain progress towards the MDGs.
Management Response: [Added: 2010/02/11]

The issues of vulnerable groups to be addressed in the census preparation

Key Actions:

Key Action Responsible DueDate Status Comments Documents
The issue of status of vulnerable groups is to addressed during preparation to census; relevant questions to be included into the census questionnaire
[Added: 2010/02/11]
UN task force for the census JP 2009/12 Completed Relevant questions included in the questionnaire

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